The 2026-2027 season is shaping up to have a larger production base, but under an uncertain climate scenario that once again tests the Peruvian sector's capacity for adaptation.
Initial projections point to a campaign with a larger area, more volume and a better start, but the advance of El Niño once again establishes the climate as a decisive variable for the Peruvian blueberry industry.
The development of a new El Niño event is starting to raise concerns about production, quality, logistics, and prices in various markets, with impacts that could be strongly felt in South America towards the end of 2026 and the beginning of 2027.
Climate projections point to an El Niño episode capable of disrupting winter and spring in key areas of Chile, opening risks for cherries and blueberries in a scenario marked by rain, increased health pressure and thermal instability.
The potential climate impact on Peruvian production at the start of the next season is keeping the global blueberry market on alert, in a scenario where prices, supply and competition between origins could become strained again.
The potential evolution of El Niño in 2026 reopens a front of uncertainty for South American blueberries, at a time when quality, logistics and compliance are as important as volume.
With the ENFEN alert in effect until November 2026, the Peruvian blueberry faces a scenario of heat and rain that tests the entire system —from field to port—, where operational resilience and consistency of quality can define its global leadership.
Following the drastic reduction in Peru's berry supply last year, the effects of El Niño continue to be felt this year. "Interestingly, the areas affected this year [...]
Among the regions most vulnerable to this threat are Tumbes, Piura, La Libertad, Áncash, Lambayeque, Cajamarca, Huánuco in the central eastern part, San Martín in the high jungle, Amazonas, Ica in the south center of Peru and Loreto in the northern Amazon, among others.
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