Peruvian organic blueberries: projection drops 31% and peaks seven weeks later

While conventional shipments grew 14% through week 39, organic shipments fell 30%. The latest forecast from Proarándanos also confirms lower volume and a later export curve for a segment historically concentrated in the United States.

By: Natalia Rubio Iversen

Proarándanos reduced its export projection to 24.500 tons of blueberry Fresh organic produce for the Peruvian 2026/27 campaign, 31,1% less than the 35.600 tons of the previous season.

The adjustment is considerably larger than that projected for all Peruvian shipments. The industry's sixth projection places total exports at 344 tons, 10,3% below the 2025/26 season.

The difference was already visible before that last review. Up to week 39, Peru had shipped 8.839 tons of blueberries Organic production was down 30% compared to the previous year. During the same period, conventional production totaled 140.016 tons, a 14% increase.

Lower volume and a later peak

The difference also appears in the calendar. Proárandanos projects that the highest weekly volume of blueberries Organic production is expected to peak in week 47, with approximately 1.000 tons. For the previous season, the industry uses a peak export volume of around 1.900 tons in week 40 as a reference.

The new projection places the peak export date seven weeks later and with a volume approximately 47% lower. For buyers, this changes both the projected organic export volume and its distribution throughout the Peruvian growing season.

The biggest adjustment came between August and September.

In August, Proarándanos projected 31 tons of organic blueberry for the season. In September, it reduced the estimate to 25 tons, 18% less than in the previous update.

Subsequent revisions were smaller: 24,9 tons at the beginning of October and 24,5 in the latest projection.

Proarándanos attributes the latest crop decline to the impact of recent weather conditions on the phenological development of the plantations. The report does not, however, break down which factors specifically explain the greater contraction observed in organic compared to conventional.

The United States, the market to watch

The reduction is especially significant due to the historical weight of the United States in this segment.

In December 2024, Proarándanos reported that 89% of shipments of organic blueberries Peruvians were heading to the United States and 10% to Europe. The figure corresponds to that campaign and does not necessarily reflect the current distribution, but it shows the importance that the US market has had for this category.

A lower projected organic export volume, coupled with a later peak, may narrow the scheduling margin for buyers of blueberries during that window and increase the importance of supplementing the supply with other sources.

The 2026/27 campaign leaves an open question for the segment: whether the current divergence responds to the particular conditions of this season or whether organic will recover volume within the Peruvian export supply in 2027/28.

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Source
Blueberries Consulting

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