Campaign 2026/27

Peruvian blueberries: projection lowered to 304 tons and anticipates a 21% drop

The new estimate cuts the previous forecast by about 40 tons. Shipments are down 15% through week 45, and the adjustment now also affects the final stretch of the season.

By: Natalia Rubio Iversen

Proarándanos reduced its export projection to 304 tons of fresh blueberries For the 2026/27 Peruvian season, the estimate is approximately 40 tons less than the 344 tons projected in the previous update. The new calculation places the final figure 21% below the 383 tons exported in 2025/26.

The correction comes despite the fact that, according to the trade association, Peru has approximately 17% more hectares in production than in the previous season.

The slower pace is already evident in the cumulative shipments. Through week 45, Peru had exported 217.800 tons, 15% less than the 255.300 tons recorded in the same period of 2025/26.

The change compared to the first weeks of the campaign is significant. Up to week 40, Peru was still accumulating a year-on-year growth of 4,5%; five weeks later, the exported volume was 15% below the previous season.

Proazulandanos attributes the new adjustment to the impact that weather conditions have had on the crops.

The cut extends to the end of the campaign

The November update also reduces the expected volume for the last weeks of 2026 and the first months of 2027.

Between weeks 46 and 53, Proarándanos projects 50.700 tons, 35% less than the 78.400 tons exported during the same period of the previous campaign.

Between January and April 2027, the new forecast drops to 35.500 tons, compared to the 46.600 tons the industry was still projecting in October. That's 11.100 tons less than the previous estimate.

Compared to the 49.200 tons exported between January and April 2026, the volume projected for the same period in 2027 would be 28% lower.

Overall, there would be 86.300 tons left to export, 32% less than the 127.600 tons that remained at the same point in the 2025/26 campaign.

In the previous update, the largest adjustment was concentrated in the fourth quarter, while the period between January and April appeared comparatively more stable. The November projection now also significantly reduces that final segment.

 

One hundred thousand tons less in the projection since August

The new estimate extends a series of revisions that began after August, when Proarándanos projected a close of 404 tons.

Since then, the forecast went from 382 tons in September, 366 and then 344 in October, until reaching the 304 tons estimated in November.

In three months, therefore, the projected closure has been reduced by around 100 tons.

The overall export peak was already recorded in week 40, with 14.600 tons, 30,1% below the 20.900 tons reached in the same week of the previous campaign.

The organic segment maintains its closing projection almost unchanged.

In the organic segment, the final estimate remains virtually unchanged from October, although the accumulated volume continues to be considerably below the previous season.

Up to week 45, Peru had exported 14.700 tons of organic blueberries, 36% less than the 22.800 tons recorded in the same period of 2025/26.

Proarándanos projects a harvest of 24.400 tons by the end of the season, 31,4% less than the 35.600 tons of the previous campaign. This figure is virtually unchanged from the 24.500 tons estimated in October.

The new information does correct the forecast regarding the calendar. In October, Proarándanos estimated that the peak export of organic blueberries would occur in week 47. It ultimately occurred in week 40, the same as in 2025/26, with 1.024 tons.

That volume was 45% lower than the 1.868 tons reached at the peak of the previous campaign.

Proarándanos announced that it will update the campaign projection again in December.

Read also

Source
Blueberries Consulting

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